Received a phone call this afternoon about IBICENO in this race, although the Godolphin horse is bound to be difficult to beat this horse is thought to be very smart and should at the very least place. He is currently available at 10/1 on the exchanges and I have had 2pts on the win and 8 points on the place at 2/1.
Best of luck if you follow.
Thursday, 31 May 2012
Today's Selections
Two bad days in a row have put a dent in this months profit but its still early days and having sat down for a few hours last night I believe that I have found some very attractive bets for today at Ayr, Brighton and Ffos Las and I will be looking at the remainder of the cards throughout the days to see if there is anything that catches my eye. I also have an info horse lined up at Sandown later but will have to wait and see what the general consensus is from my man at the track before posting it up.
Starting Bank = 483.25
2:30 Brighton - Boston Blue (3/1) - 6pt win - this horse looks like a good looking bet to me, the horse hasn't really fired over hurdles but he is only 1lb higher that his last winning mark and both of his previous wins came on a good surface. He has competed 5 times in Class 5 company on the turf and has won twice which obviously bodes well as does the booking of Crowley. The Favourite should give a good account of himself but I think there may well be a few chinks in his armour and this one therefore looks like the more appealing of the two.
4:00 Ffos Las - Domino Dancer (4/1) - 5pt win - I actually backed this one on the exchanges at prices in excess of 5-6/1 but the horse has come in for plenty of early support and therefore I will be using the current price for P/L purposes. There are plenty of things to like about this horse; Daryl Jacob's takes the ride, he is a CD winner, likes good ground, ran well LTO after a break from the track in conditions which were far from ideal and he comes from a yard who do very well with their limited string. Obviously the 4/1 now available isn't quite as attractive as the price I got last night but its still good enough to have a punt and would also advise readers to have a close look at the a yards runner later on the card as well.
4:55 Ayr - Judicious (5/1) - 4pt win - For me this is the most intriguing runner of all today, the horse was the subject of a stewards enquiry a few runs back when the jockey was investigated for what was thought to be a suspect ride and the vet later examined the horse and found him to be lame. The horse then moved yard and was heavily punted next time out but could only finish 4th, he has now moved again to the Midgley yard and has once again been punted this morning (I got 6/1 on the exchanges last night). Its not just the background story that makes this horse of interest though, he has a very good record on good ground (3 wins from 4 rides all over today's distance) and also now hits his key rest period. One slight concern would be that the horse seems to have a better record going right handed but the majority of his runs on left handed tracks have been on undulating surfaces and I believe it may be this factor which has affected his performance rather that the course layout. All things considered, I like the look of this one and it will be very interesting to see how it runs.
Starting Bank = 483.25
2:30 Brighton - Boston Blue (3/1) - 6pt win - this horse looks like a good looking bet to me, the horse hasn't really fired over hurdles but he is only 1lb higher that his last winning mark and both of his previous wins came on a good surface. He has competed 5 times in Class 5 company on the turf and has won twice which obviously bodes well as does the booking of Crowley. The Favourite should give a good account of himself but I think there may well be a few chinks in his armour and this one therefore looks like the more appealing of the two.
4:00 Ffos Las - Domino Dancer (4/1) - 5pt win - I actually backed this one on the exchanges at prices in excess of 5-6/1 but the horse has come in for plenty of early support and therefore I will be using the current price for P/L purposes. There are plenty of things to like about this horse; Daryl Jacob's takes the ride, he is a CD winner, likes good ground, ran well LTO after a break from the track in conditions which were far from ideal and he comes from a yard who do very well with their limited string. Obviously the 4/1 now available isn't quite as attractive as the price I got last night but its still good enough to have a punt and would also advise readers to have a close look at the a yards runner later on the card as well.
4:55 Ayr - Judicious (5/1) - 4pt win - For me this is the most intriguing runner of all today, the horse was the subject of a stewards enquiry a few runs back when the jockey was investigated for what was thought to be a suspect ride and the vet later examined the horse and found him to be lame. The horse then moved yard and was heavily punted next time out but could only finish 4th, he has now moved again to the Midgley yard and has once again been punted this morning (I got 6/1 on the exchanges last night). Its not just the background story that makes this horse of interest though, he has a very good record on good ground (3 wins from 4 rides all over today's distance) and also now hits his key rest period. One slight concern would be that the horse seems to have a better record going right handed but the majority of his runs on left handed tracks have been on undulating surfaces and I believe it may be this factor which has affected his performance rather that the course layout. All things considered, I like the look of this one and it will be very interesting to see how it runs.
Wednesday, 30 May 2012
6:35
Rugosa is thought to have a strong chance but the word at the track is that the godolphin horse is gully expected to do the business and for that reason the advice was either to tale a short price on a place or going for a forecast bet. I have decided to give it a swerve though and I would suggest that my readers do as well.
Info
Diving back into the Hunter Chase market with an info selection from my PTP man. Horse is MISS MIDNIGHT and it runs in the 5:00 at Newton Abbot. The horse is currently priced up 4/1 and I had 5pts on the win. Still no word from the Hill's camp yet but should be posted up early evening.
Today's Selections
Well yesterday was the worst day I have had in a long time and although a few of my selections were unlucky I don't really have any excuses. Unfortunately I have been extremely busy analysing the upcoming Epsom card this morning so haven't had any time to really get stuck into today's racing. For that reason I will be posting a few selections up today but they will not be included for P/L purposes (other than Peaks of Fire) as I just don't have the time to give my selection process the time it requires.
2:20 Sedge - Peaks of Fire (Evens win) - 10pts
2:40 Ayr - Sunny Side Up (Evens Place) - *** Rating
3:40 Ayr - Amazing Amore (6/4 Place) - *** Rating
4:40 Ayr - Toshi (5/2 win) - *** Rating
6:15 Folkstone - Escape to Glory (3/1 win) - *** Rating
I apologise for the lack of advised stakes, but normal service will be resumed tomorrow and if you do decide to back any of my selections today, then I would suggest that you lower your stakes slightly. I will be getting a call from my Hill's man later this afternoon but I definitely won't be backing the short priced Fav (Safarjal) as he has let me down plenty of times before. Their other runner today looks to have his work cut out against the Godolphin horse but if the word for this one is positive then I may well have a punt as I know Rugosa was highly thought of last year.
2:20 Sedge - Peaks of Fire (Evens win) - 10pts
2:40 Ayr - Sunny Side Up (Evens Place) - *** Rating
3:40 Ayr - Amazing Amore (6/4 Place) - *** Rating
4:40 Ayr - Toshi (5/2 win) - *** Rating
6:15 Folkstone - Escape to Glory (3/1 win) - *** Rating
I apologise for the lack of advised stakes, but normal service will be resumed tomorrow and if you do decide to back any of my selections today, then I would suggest that you lower your stakes slightly. I will be getting a call from my Hill's man later this afternoon but I definitely won't be backing the short priced Fav (Safarjal) as he has let me down plenty of times before. Their other runner today looks to have his work cut out against the Godolphin horse but if the word for this one is positive then I may well have a punt as I know Rugosa was highly thought of last year.
Tuesday, 29 May 2012
Update
Two more bets to add to today's selections, one is info and the other is a horse who has just appeared in my race alerts;
Ripon 3:10 - Fortieth and Fifth (2/1) - 10pt win - Not the most original of info selections but the yard are on this one and its a more appealing price than their runner in the first who is also expected to do the business.
Chepstow 3:30 - May Be Some Time (5/1) - 2pt win - This horse won well on its last start and although it is making its comeback from a 200 day+ break I believe he still has room for improvement off his current mark and the trainer usually primes his horses for their first run, especially at Chepstow.
Ripon 3:10 - Fortieth and Fifth (2/1) - 10pt win - Not the most original of info selections but the yard are on this one and its a more appealing price than their runner in the first who is also expected to do the business.
Chepstow 3:30 - May Be Some Time (5/1) - 2pt win - This horse won well on its last start and although it is making its comeback from a 200 day+ break I believe he still has room for improvement off his current mark and the trainer usually primes his horses for their first run, especially at Chepstow.
Today's Selections
Very good day for the blog yesterday as I recorded 4 winning bets resulting in 47.25pts profit and a starting bank for today of 539.25 points.
Today's Selections
3:20 Lingfield - Effistorm (3/1) - 10pt win - This horse is a claiming system qualifier and should take all the beating today. Conor Dore is presented by no less than 4 runners in the race but in my opinion this one definitely looks to have the strongest claims although it was a close call between him and the mount of George Baker. Like Yes Chef below I got on at much bigger prices last night (5/1+) but for the purposes of the P/L I will be using the highest available price at the time of writing.
4:30 Chepstow - Yes Chef (7/2) - 4pt win - I backed this horse LTO and it flopped, today it returns to a course where it has a great record and the horse is obviously starting to look very well handicapped. I actually managed to get on last night at 4/1 but the horse has already been supported so for the purposes of the P/L I will be using the highest available price at the time of writing which is 7/2. I strongly believe that this horse has been tee'd up for this race and although Sammy Alexander makes some appeal, the Millman yard very rarely leave their money behind.
5:00 Chepstow - Velvet Start (6/1) - 1.50pts e/w - This horse is very well bred and was disappointing last season where she was well beaten in 3 class 4 maidens. She makes her debut as a three year old today and it would be very frustrating for connections if she didn't show some promise today off a basement mark. She is taking a considerable step up in trip which is sure to suit her on the basis of her pedigree and that makes her of additional interest but obviously the current form of the trainer and the jockey's poor strike rate when riding 3yo's for the yard would temper my enthusiasm slightly.
6:25 Huntingdon - Festival Bound (2/1) -10pt win - This is a horse from my hunter chase connection. The horse has apparently been performing very well in PTP races and is expected to record his first victory in the hunter chase discipline today before targeting bigger things in the next 12 months. From what I can tell the horse has a nice hunter chase pedigree and the ground, distance and nature of the course will apparently be in his favour.
8:35 Ballinrobe - Native Son (11/2) - 2pt win - This is an info horse from my source in Ireland who has been quiet in the last few days. Although on the face of it Native Son looks to have tried and failed on a couple of occasions to win a bumper, better is expected today. He is race fit so that definitely won't be a problem and today's field looks very weak compared to the line up he met last time out. The yard have employed the services of McNamara who is one of the most talented amateur riders in Ireland, so if anyone can get this horse home in front then it's him. Connections will apparently be having money on this one to win and although there is a small bit of e/w value at the moment I will be going for the win as well. Obviously we are looking at a pretty poor race though so I would advise anyone having a punt to keep their stakes small.
That concludes today's selections for the time being although there may be a few more selections to come later in the day if I hear anything or something catches my eye.
Happy punting.
Today's Selections
3:20 Lingfield - Effistorm (3/1) - 10pt win - This horse is a claiming system qualifier and should take all the beating today. Conor Dore is presented by no less than 4 runners in the race but in my opinion this one definitely looks to have the strongest claims although it was a close call between him and the mount of George Baker. Like Yes Chef below I got on at much bigger prices last night (5/1+) but for the purposes of the P/L I will be using the highest available price at the time of writing.
4:30 Chepstow - Yes Chef (7/2) - 4pt win - I backed this horse LTO and it flopped, today it returns to a course where it has a great record and the horse is obviously starting to look very well handicapped. I actually managed to get on last night at 4/1 but the horse has already been supported so for the purposes of the P/L I will be using the highest available price at the time of writing which is 7/2. I strongly believe that this horse has been tee'd up for this race and although Sammy Alexander makes some appeal, the Millman yard very rarely leave their money behind.
5:00 Chepstow - Velvet Start (6/1) - 1.50pts e/w - This horse is very well bred and was disappointing last season where she was well beaten in 3 class 4 maidens. She makes her debut as a three year old today and it would be very frustrating for connections if she didn't show some promise today off a basement mark. She is taking a considerable step up in trip which is sure to suit her on the basis of her pedigree and that makes her of additional interest but obviously the current form of the trainer and the jockey's poor strike rate when riding 3yo's for the yard would temper my enthusiasm slightly.
6:25 Huntingdon - Festival Bound (2/1) -10pt win - This is a horse from my hunter chase connection. The horse has apparently been performing very well in PTP races and is expected to record his first victory in the hunter chase discipline today before targeting bigger things in the next 12 months. From what I can tell the horse has a nice hunter chase pedigree and the ground, distance and nature of the course will apparently be in his favour.
8:35 Ballinrobe - Native Son (11/2) - 2pt win - This is an info horse from my source in Ireland who has been quiet in the last few days. Although on the face of it Native Son looks to have tried and failed on a couple of occasions to win a bumper, better is expected today. He is race fit so that definitely won't be a problem and today's field looks very weak compared to the line up he met last time out. The yard have employed the services of McNamara who is one of the most talented amateur riders in Ireland, so if anyone can get this horse home in front then it's him. Connections will apparently be having money on this one to win and although there is a small bit of e/w value at the moment I will be going for the win as well. Obviously we are looking at a pretty poor race though so I would advise anyone having a punt to keep their stakes small.
That concludes today's selections for the time being although there may be a few more selections to come later in the day if I hear anything or something catches my eye.
Happy punting.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)