Two bad days in a row have put a dent in this months profit but its still early days and having sat down for a few hours last night I believe that I have found some very attractive bets for today at Ayr, Brighton and Ffos Las and I will be looking at the remainder of the cards throughout the days to see if there is anything that catches my eye. I also have an info horse lined up at Sandown later but will have to wait and see what the general consensus is from my man at the track before posting it up.
Starting Bank = 483.25
2:30 Brighton - Boston Blue (3/1) - 6pt win - this horse looks like a good looking bet to me, the horse hasn't really fired over hurdles but he is only 1lb higher that his last winning mark and both of his previous wins came on a good surface. He has competed 5 times in Class 5 company on the turf and has won twice which obviously bodes well as does the booking of Crowley. The Favourite should give a good account of himself but I think there may well be a few chinks in his armour and this one therefore looks like the more appealing of the two.
4:00 Ffos Las - Domino Dancer (4/1) - 5pt win - I actually backed this one on the exchanges at prices in excess of 5-6/1 but the horse has come in for plenty of early support and therefore I will be using the current price for P/L purposes. There are plenty of things to like about this horse; Daryl Jacob's takes the ride, he is a CD winner, likes good ground, ran well LTO after a break from the track in conditions which were far from ideal and he comes from a yard who do very well with their limited string. Obviously the 4/1 now available isn't quite as attractive as the price I got last night but its still good enough to have a punt and would also advise readers to have a close look at the a yards runner later on the card as well.
4:55 Ayr - Judicious (5/1) - 4pt win - For me this is the most intriguing runner of all today, the horse was the subject of a stewards enquiry a few runs back when the jockey was investigated for what was thought to be a suspect ride and the vet later examined the horse and found him to be lame. The horse then moved yard and was heavily punted next time out but could only finish 4th, he has now moved again to the Midgley yard and has once again been punted this morning (I got 6/1 on the exchanges last night). Its not just the background story that makes this horse of interest though, he has a very good record on good ground (3 wins from 4 rides all over today's distance) and also now hits his key rest period. One slight concern would be that the horse seems to have a better record going right handed but the majority of his runs on left handed tracks have been on undulating surfaces and I believe it may be this factor which has affected his performance rather that the course layout. All things considered, I like the look of this one and it will be very interesting to see how it runs.
About Me
- Racing101
- For the past few years, I have dedicated the majority of my time to horse racing. I have become an established member of numerous racing forums and I am sure a few of you will have seen my 'Please Ignore' threads on GG and Everythinghorseracing.co.uk (great forum). In my spare time I also advise a number of parties concerning bloodstock and dosage profiles. In the last 5 years I have formulated numerous selection filters and rating systems which have allowed me to achieve substantial profit on a yearly basis. I have also established links with a number of stables, and receive regular info which I will share on the blog as and when I receive it. For me horse racing is a passion and I'm always looking at ways to improve, both as a tipster and as an equine enthusiast. I hope you enjoy reading my blog and feel free to contact me either via email at myhorseracing101@gmail.com or via twitter at horses4course.
Hi,
ReplyDeleteWhen can we expect your first thoughts on for Epsom tomorrow ?
IN the process of finishing up the write ups now so will either post them up later tonight or first thing tomorrow morning.
ReplyDelete