Up To Something (2/1) - 6pt win - For me this is probably the most intriguing race of the Doncaster card and it's definitely a tricky one to assess. Up To Something comes into the race with an official mark of 130 and carries a 5lb penalty as a result of his win at Uttoxeter back in October. Since that date he has put in some solid performances, the best of which came last time out when going down by five lengths to Puffin Billy who is a real livewire contender for the Supreme/Neptune at the festival. Looking at his collateral form with the likes of Population (My Tent or Yours, Turn Over Sivola & Xaarcet) and La Reve (Meganisi), I believe he is more than capable of giving 5lb to both. Another point in Up To Something's favour is his racing style, Market Rasen is a tight tract and it suits runners who race prominently, Up To Something is no stranger to front running and his ability to stay, jump and lead could prove to be invaluable today. With numerous horse's unproven at today's trip Fehily should have the chance to really kick this horse on and set a strong pace and he could get a couple of his opposition off the bridle very early on.
As far as potential dangers are concerned, clearly La Reve has room for further improvement and is likely to improve significantly from the step up in trip but the trainers form has to be a major negative, as does the presence of Leighton Aspell, who has a terrible record at the course. Population should be held by Up To Something on all known form lines and I'm not really sure he want's this kind of trip yet. The only horse which I really saw troubling my selection was the Pipe runner, Barney Cool, who featured on my Horses to Follow list for this season. Following his withdrawal this now looks like a one horse race and because of that I've decided to place a max stake bet of 6pts. Just to cover my back I will also be placing the following side bet:
Side Bet - 0.50pt Reverse Forecast - La Reve and Up To Something (Total Stake = 1pt)
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