I have a busy day tomorrow so I will be posting my A/W selections now as the markets are yet to be formed on the majority of the races at Leicester and there are no bets at Hamilton due to the ground.
4:20 Kempton - Poole Harbour (8/1) - 1pt e/w - A great little race featuring plenty of previous course winners and a few progressive looking horses. Although Poole Harbour may not be the obvious choice on a form point of view, I really fancy his chances in this one and I was nearly tempted to place a straight win bet. The reason for my confidence is the horses one and only previous run at the course, in which he finished first in a Class 5 maiden over 7f. He put in a very impressive performance that day recording and RP rating of 90 and he form has worked out well. I always believe it pays to follow horse who have seemingly be kept away from the scene of their most impressive run and he has not returned to the track since that win in May. I believe that the talented Hannon team may have found him the perfect opportunity to cement his status as a Kempton specialist and the fact that he stays further than 6f ,will hopefully negate the disadvantage of being drawn out wide. All things considered, I think he is a massive price at 8/1 and I would be very surprised if he didn't at least place under the prolific Richard Hughes. (2nd)
4:50 Kempton - Ruscello (11/2) - 3pt win - This is the one and only info selection for tomorrow and he is apparently very well fancied to win this race. The yard won last years renewal and Ruscello has had this race as his primary target since winning over 11f at the track back in July. His win that day was eye catching and the time was blistering, as the clock was stopped at 2m 17.92s (fast by 0.58s). The form of that race has worked out extremely well and with George Baker booked you can guarantee that the horse is going to get a text book hold up ride. The only slight concern would be whether he will get a strong pace to aim at but I'm hopeful that the like of Caphira, Yazdi and Cherry Street will see that he does. (1st)
5:20 Kempton - Cruiser (4/1) - 3pt win - It was a very close call between Cruiser and Golden Tempest in this race but in the end Cruisers performance in a hot looking Class 2 event, over CD, last time out, tipped the scale in his favour. He seems to save his best for the Kempton course and there is no doubt that tomorrows race represents a significant drop in class. I don't think there is going to be much pace on as only Copperwood really looks capable of taking the lead and therefore Cruisers prominent style will hopefully put him in a great position to win the race. In my opinion this is a solid win bet and I will be amazed if the price of 4/1 lasts long. (UP)
No comments:
Post a Comment