Great day today and I'm hopeful that by the end of this week I will have turned things around in what has been a difficult P/L cycle.
Starting Bank = 365.00
3:05 Ascot - Ortensia (5/1) - 10pts e/w - I am a massive fan of this horse and it's form is absolutely rock solid. Having paid close attention to the Dubai Carnival this year this Filly's performance in the Al Quoz Sprint was one of the most impressive things I saw. Her winning time was only 30 seconds outside of a course record and her last 400m was significantly quicker than anything else in the field. Her Jockey that day timed his run to perfection and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see tomorrows race unfold in a similar fashion. I haven't paid close attention to this race but I am reliably informed that she is in tip top shape and her visionary trainer has been pulling out all the stops to ensure that his stable star puts in a respectable performance. Obviously there is no such thing as a sure thing in these types of races but I would be horrified if this horse didn't at least place and if i'm honest, I believe she will be vert difficult to beat.
3:45 - Foxtrot Romeo (14/1) - 2.5pts e/w - I am fully aware that Power should be difficult to beat in this race and he is a worthy favourite but I really fancy this horse. I was impressed by his performance in the Irish 2000 guineas and he is from a bloodline which Smart knows all about. The horse itself is a monster of a colt and having previously been campaigned on good ground he should thrive under tomorrows conditions (Danehill Progeny). In my opinion if he can run to the same level of form as in his last race then he should go well and at the moment he is a very appealing price for e/w purposes.
4:25 - Artigiano (18/1) - 2.5pts e/w - Now a few people have been asking me whether Englishman is fancied and the answer is a resounding YES with many in the yard placing substantial e.w bets, but I have taken a decision to side with my own selection who looks massively over-priced. When Funk Soul Brother made his debut my Source was told to watch out for Artigiano. He was informed that the horse was expected to need the run that day but would make massive strides this season. His performance in that maiden was eye catching to say the least, he was eased into contention in the early stages, running green and showing a tendency to hang. But as the race unfolded his improvement was evident and he stayed on well to finish 3rd. His next run came in a weak looking maiden at Leicester and although I didn't back him my man lumped on and the horse absolutely destroyed the field without Frankie ever having to get serious. Clearly his form isn't as strong as some of the horse's in tomorrows line up but his bloodline suggests that he can be a precocious 2yo and I think the bookies may have seriously underestimated his chances especially as Frankie was very vocal after that race at Leicester with regard to his respective chances in tomorrows renewal.
As far as Funk Soul Brother is concerned from the Hill's yard he isn't thought to be as far forward as his stable mate but he would still have an e/w shout if running up to his best but the feeling in the camp is that Englishman is the horse to be on.
Two more to add at Ascot and one at Thirsk;
2:30 Ascot - Worthaad (40/1 BOG) - 1pt e/w
5:35 Ascot - Smoothtalkinrascal (9/1) - 2pts e/w
3:25 Thirsk - Lacily (9/2) - 6pt win
INFO - 5:00 Ascot - ELYAADI (8/1) - 5pts e/w - This horse is fully expected to go very close to winning this one and I know plenty of people who have lumped on in a big way over the last few hours. I will be gutted if he gets done over by Al Khawanjee who gave me a massive win a few months ago but when you receive a word as strong as this you have to pile in, cross your fingers and toes and hope for a win!
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