Tomorrow's Early Selections

Lots of really good racing tomorrow but I have a few selections which I'm going to post now because the prices of the respective runners have the potential to plummet over night.

The first selection is Michelangelo in the 2:00, he is currently priced up at 10/11 and I have absolutely no doubt that this horse will win this race. The horse feature on my 2yo bloodstock report last year and his performances this season have been incredibly impressive. I fully expect this one to go off much shorter than the current price and this is max bet material.

The second selection comes in the 4:05 maiden at Newmarket, the horse is Disclaimer and he is currently trading on the exchanges at 3/1. The horse has a very nice pedigree and you just get the feeling that the yard are ready to kick off their juvenile campaign at HQ tomorrow. I know that the Hill's runner is supposed to be a smart type but even they're very wary of Disclaimer and with the money certain to flood in this is one to get on early and if necessary take a small commission loss on the exchanges.

The third selection is Khawlah, she runs in the 3:00 at Newmarket and she is currently available at around 12/1. Now this isn't the most confident of selections but I followed this horse religiously last season in Dubai and it was common knowledge at that time that this filly had the potential to be one of the greatest ever to go through the Godolphin ranks. Her dominance over the racing world was stamped in emphatic fashion at the Carnival when she beat the boys to become the first Filly to win the UAE derby. After that race the intention was to head straight for the Oaks but she suffered a set back and instead returned over a year later in the Dahlia Stakes and my god she was disappointing and things didn't improve in her second run either. Obviously this makes her a very suspect betting proposition but seeing a horse of her type improve significantly on her third run of a campaign is not unheard of, especially in the UAE, and tomorrow would have to be viewed as a last chance saloon for her now as she faces her easiest race to date. At 12/1 she is worth an e/w bet and if the money comes (which I think it will) then there will be the opportunity to hedge and lay her off.

The final selection is Zenaat in the 2:40 at Chester and he is currently available at 5/1. From a form point of view this horse doesn't look to be anything special but his pedigree is incredibly impressive and he has had excuses for his two below par efforts this season. The yard has hit form with vengeance and of a mark of just 77 I would be amazed if this horse wasn't capable of improving, he did cost over 400,000gns as a yearling after all and is owned by very powerful connections who know how to spot a decent 3yo. .


Early Selections

2:00 Newmarket - Michelangelo 10/11 - 25pt win

2:40 Chester - Zenaat (5/1) - 5pt win

3:00 Newmarket - Khawlah 12/1 - 1.5pts e/w

4:05 Newmarket - Disclaimer 3/1 - 10pt win

So that's it on the early selection front but no doubt there will be one or two more and I will also be giving the low down on all of the Hill's runners before racing starts tomorrow.



Results

Michelangelo - 1st (+47.73) - Stunning performance from this very promising colt. 


Zenaat - Unplaced (-5pts) - Very poor performance and difficult to see what connections will do with this horse now. 


Khawal - Unplaced (-3pts) - A terrible performance once again and in my opinion its probably time to call time on this horses career or send her to the sales. 


Disclaimer - Unplaced - (-10pts) - The horse travelled well through the race but just didn't pick up in the early stages. The placed horses all came from the rail which may be evidence of a slight bias but one things for sure the first three home will not be the horses to take from that race.