3:00 - Glennten (13/2) - 1pt e/w
3:30 - Norfolk Sky (6/1) - 1pt e/w
About Me
- Racing101
- For the past few years, I have dedicated the majority of my time to horse racing. I have become an established member of numerous racing forums and I am sure a few of you will have seen my 'Please Ignore' threads on GG and Everythinghorseracing.co.uk (great forum). In my spare time I also advise a number of parties concerning bloodstock and dosage profiles. In the last 5 years I have formulated numerous selection filters and rating systems which have allowed me to achieve substantial profit on a yearly basis. I have also established links with a number of stables, and receive regular info which I will share on the blog as and when I receive it. For me horse racing is a passion and I'm always looking at ways to improve, both as a tipster and as an equine enthusiast. I hope you enjoy reading my blog and feel free to contact me either via email at myhorseracing101@gmail.com or via twitter at horses4course.
Thursday, 31 January 2013
Wednesday, 30 January 2013
Today's Treble
1:40 Ludlow - Little Dutch Girl (6/4)
3:30 Leicester - Buddy Bolero (10/11)
4:40 Ludlow - Oscar Hoof (1/1)
1pt Treble
3:30 Leicester - Buddy Bolero (10/11)
4:40 Ludlow - Oscar Hoof (1/1)
1pt Treble
Tuesday, 29 January 2013
Today's Selections
1:50 Lingfield - Finger onthe Pulse (4/5 place) - 3pt bet - Realistically the favourite will probably win this race but I just have a feeling that the drop back in trip and a return to a fast surface will really suit my selection as he's a horse which has been plagued with breathing problems. He's clearly in the twilight of his career and I'm not sure he is even close to being worthy of his official mark of 137 but this looks like the perfect opportunity for his connections to get a bit of confidence back and I expect a big ride from McCoy.
2:20 Lingfield - Shernando (5/2) - 3pt win - I'm struggling to see why people would be prepared to back Ransom Note given that his previous connections were of the opinion that 10f pushed his stamina. The Henderson runner was an above average flat performer, is bred to handle the surface and has already shown some smart form over hurdles. Personally I think the bookmakers have missed a trick and I would have thought we will see Shernando taking home the prize with the JonJo horse taking the silver medal.
2:50 Lingfield - Shadarpour (4/5) - 3pt place bet - As the card develops the races appear to get harder from a punting perspective and this one is a very trappy little race. Clearly the favourite sets the standard but the Moore horses are in fine form and Shadarpour had some decent form on the flat when trained in France and he's related to some very smart individuals. It's the yards only runner of the day and I think he will step up on his last performance and go very close.
4:20 Lingfield - Guest of Honour (8/11) - 6pt win - I really wanted to try and find something to oppose this horse but the fact of the matter is that he's not just the form pick but he's also streets ahead from a breeding perspective. Clearly the price is now on the short-side but I think that he should run out an easy winner and I've ranked him as max bet material.
Monday, 28 January 2013
Today's Selection
Henry The Aviator (2/1) - 6pt win bet - For all intense and purposes this has to be one of the bets of the day. Obviously we are looking at an AW maiden and they have a habit of throwing up some suspect results but this horse is bred to be precocious and he's bred to love the surface.
HTA is a Henrythenavigator colt out of a Chief's Crown mare, he is a close relation to Star Crowned (RPR 111) and is a half brother to a few smart types including Grade 1 winner, Eddington. His dam was a reasonable performer in the US and has already achieved some incredible purchase prices with her progeny. His Sire, is relatively new to the breeding game but has already stamped his mark and was the leading first crop sire in North America. Although he didn't hit those heights in this country, last year, the general opinion amongst the bloodstock agents is that his progeny will progress well with age and therefore the debut appearance of HTA as a 3yo is not a cause for concern.
Mark Johnston has been in unusually poor form this January which has surprised the majority of punters. He's won this race 5 times in the last 10 years though and also obtained a silver medal on one occasion, so there is no doubt that this is a race which he has targeted in the past. Crone Stud Farms also has a very good record at Wolverhampton, are selective with their bookings of Joe Fanning and have forked out some serious cash to buy the horse.
Obviously there is a chance that he will get beaten by something with experience but from a dosage point of view, you will struggle to find a better bred horse (6-10-18-10-0 (44) - DI 1.32 CD 0.27) and I have every confidence that HTA will win today and go on to bigger and better things. (1st)
Saturday, 26 January 2013
3:00 Cheltenham
3:00 Cheltenham - The New One (10/11) - 6pt win bet
Side Bet - The New One & Coneygree 1pt Reverse Forecast
Total Stake = 8pts and that's it for today.
Friday, 25 January 2013
6:00 Wolves (info)
Muncar (10/3) - 3pt win - connections apparently very confident that this horse is still well handicapped and in good form. A big run is forecast!
Today's Selections
The difficulties with the weather recently have resulted in an abundance of weak AW cards and some bad results for punters. With that in mind I will only be place betting today and although the odds may be on the short side for a few readers, I think it's a much safer way to bet in the current conditions and those that aren't happy backing short priced horses should maybe look at placing a few multiples instead.
2:40 Kempton - Megastar (5/6) - 3pt place bet
3:05 Lingfield - Khawatim (4/9) - 3pt place bet
3:25 Kempton - City Press (10/11) - 3pt place
3:40 Lingfield - Moscow Circus (10/11) - 3pt place bet
7:00 Wolves - Basset Road (4/7) - 3pt place bet
2:40 Kempton - Megastar (5/6) - 3pt place bet
3:05 Lingfield - Khawatim (4/9) - 3pt place bet
3:25 Kempton - City Press (10/11) - 3pt place
3:40 Lingfield - Moscow Circus (10/11) - 3pt place bet
7:00 Wolves - Basset Road (4/7) - 3pt place bet
Thursday, 24 January 2013
Today's Selection
Having looked through the AW cards today there is only one race which fits my criteria and that's the 4:35 at Kempton. Unfortunately it's a very difficult race to assess due to the pace angles and the abundance of hold up performers.
At the head of the market we have Pastoral Jet who has been in good form over CD recently and has Thomas Brown on-board claiming 7lb. The problem with this particular horse is that he's far from straight forward, needs a fast pace to aim at and doesn't always give 100%. With that in mind I believe he's easily opposed.
George Baker picks up the ride on Hip Hip Hooray who is a decent mare dropping into 0-60 company for a first time in a while. Although she is an out and out hold up horse, she doesn't necessarily need a fast pace to aim at and that could be an advantage given the distinct lack of front runners. She has been out of sorts recently though which is a concern but her yard does well at the track and I would have thought she will run well. The fact that Mongan presumably picked the Phelan runner obviously intrigues me though.
Menadati is a horse who is clearly well handicapped as he is a horse with talent who is incredibly difficult to win with given the fact that he has real trouble breaking from the stalls. If we see another tardy start from him today then it's unlikely that he will be able to make up the lost ground and with both jockey and trainer in poor form, the 4/1 currently on offer looks ridiculous.
Silly Billy in my opinion is the horse which makes the most appeal in today's line up. Unlike the majority of the field he likes to race prominently and has also been known to front run in the past. Although the majority of his form is over 7 furlong, I believe he should get an uncontested lead if Mongan gets him to the front early and if that is the case then he will have every opportunity to set some steady fractions before really winding up the pace in the last furlong. If the race unfolds as I expect I think we will see a sprint to the finish and with the course riding on the slow side I think it's going to be very difficult for the likes of HHH, PJ and Menadati to make up lost ground. There is no doubt that Mongan is a rider to follow on the AW at the moment and his ability to judge pace is extremely good. I think that will be invaluable in today's race and with a few close calls off his current mark I think Silly Billy is nailed on to get his head in front again today. At a current price of 6/1 there is plenty of e/w value and I think he's the most likely winner in a race which is certain to be run at a sedate pace.
Selection - Silly Billy (6/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
Wednesday, 23 January 2013
Kempton
7:30 - Shalambar (7/1) - 1pt e/w bet - I looked at this race earlier and within 5 minutes had dismissed most of the horses, but the one horse which really stood out was Shalambar. Although he is an average performer he has a solid record at the track over today's trip and also gets on very well with Crowley. He already has a win under his belt in a large field and has dropped back below his last winning mark, which makes the stead stream of cash for him very interesting. I'm not sure he's one to have too much confidence in, but providing he gets a clear passage, I'm pretty certain he will at least place.
3:30 Lingfield (INFO)
(INFO) - 3:30 Lingfield - Als Memory (3/1) - 3pt win bet - My source was very confident about this one and if my e/w bet had won earlier then this would have been a 6 pointer. (1st)
Today's Selections
1:10 Ayr - One For Hocky (10/1) - 1pt e/w bet - This horse caught my eye when winning a bumper in fine style at Newcastle last year. He out galloped his rivals that day and looked to be a horse with a real future. For one reason or another, Nicky choose to keep his powder dry after that performance and the horse wasn't seen again until October when he took part in a maiden hurdle at Kelso on heavy ground. Although he was well beaten that day, it looked as if the yard were treating it as a schooling exercise and he was never really pushed for an effort.
Today we see OFH for just the third time and his trainer is in tremendous form. So far this season Nicky has been operating at a 19% strike rate with his hurdlers, he's 6 from 21 in novice company, 2 from 9 in January, 6 from 20 when booking Harding and has an overall strike rate of 13% with his hurdlers at Ayr in the last 5 seasons. The horses owners are also known for winning races at appealing prices and the nature of the course at Ayr will suit this galloping individual perfectly. Although I fear the McCain horse, his price looks very short and I would rather take an e/w position on One For Hocky and hope he can at least place. (UP)
Further bets will hopefully follow this afternoon so watch this space.
3:00 Lingfield - Storm Runner (10/3) - 3pt win bet - This is a difficult little race to assess and a lot will depend on whether the Balding Horse (Perfect Mission) attempts to make all under Thomas Brown. If I'm correct and the jockey employs those tactics, then I think it will turn into a two horse race between Storm Runner and Titan Triumph. The decision to side with SR was largely led by the fact that he's progressing as opposed to TT who definitely appears to be on a downward curve. Clearly backing a horse like SR is a danger as there is every chance that he could now be in the handicappers grip but he faces some weak and unproven rivals today and with the race set to pan out in his favour, I think he's capable of defying his current mark. (1st)
Tuesday, 22 January 2013
Today's Selections
The last few days have been difficult, the racing has been as bad as the weather and it's been impossible to find the motivation required to sit down and really study the AW cards. Today I woke up and forced myself to do it though and I'm hoping it pays off.
1:50 Lingfield - Woolfall Sovereign (11/8) - 3pt win - I'm not going to be winning any prizes for originality with this pick but I think he's a really solid favourite in a race lacking any real strength and depth. He is unbeaten over 5f, holds the course record at Southwell/Wolverhampton, is a CD winner and is clearly progressive. He takes on some seasoned sprinters today in the form of Fratellino and Swiss Cross but the later should struggle to outrun WS over 5f and the former has WTD on-board which is enough to put me off. (1st - SP 2/1)
3:35 Lingfield - Dorothy's Dancing (13/8) - 3pt win - Once again and obvious selection but it's one that I think will win. To be honest I'm surprised that this horse is such a big price given what she faces today. Her nearest rival in the market is a 4yo from the Newcombe yard (Spellmaker) who was the subject of a gamble which went astray in one of the worst 3yo races I saw last season. The horse is clearly very average and he would have needed to come on significantly over the last few months if he is to trouble the experienced DD. (1st - Rule 4 - 11/10)
4:05 - Lady Mango (7/1) - 1pt e/w - It's clear to me that the favourite should be hard to beat here but I'm not taking a short price on a horse being ridden by a female claimer. With that in mind I went hunting for an e/w selection and although my first choice was actually Olynard, Lady Mango looks like a reasonable alternative. Although she hasn't won for her while there was some promise in her last run and with the pieces on she might just run a decent race. (UP)
Monday, 21 January 2013
Saturday, 19 January 2013
Thursday, 17 January 2013
Today's Selections
2:20 Wincanton - Definity (8/13) - 6pt place bet - This is a horse that is currently on the drift and that concerns me given the length of his absence from the track. Obviously it's incredibly difficult to know what talent, if any, still remains but this horse was a progressive and highly thought of animal a few years ago and the fact that his powerful connections have kept the faith, can only be viewed as a positive. The conditions today shouldn't be a problem, the yard are still going well and on his past form, he's clearly well handicapped.
2:50 Wincanton - Upham Atom (25/1) - 1pt e/w - Not a race for high exposure but Upham Atom looks like a decent e/w bet to me. He's back to his last winning mark, loves the course and is Liam's only ride of the day. He handled soft ground in the early part of his career but in recent times has needed good ground and that would obviously be a concern. He jumps well though and gets into the race today carrying a nice weight. It was a very close call between this horse and Richard Sundance but the trainers words about the horse's well being etc put me off that one slightly.
3:20 Wincanton - Dragons Den (16/1) - 1pt e/w - Personally I feel that the favourite looks very well in under his penalty today and I would definitely be expecting him to win. I'm not overly keen to lump on any kind of penalty runner at the moment though as race conditions clearly take their toll and for that reason I sought and e/w alternative in the form of DD. A simple assessment of DD's his form would probably suggest that he will struggle today but he's been racing against some nice horses and has always performed with credit. As a result, the handicapper has been reluctant to give him any rest-bite but he did drop him 2lb after his last race and I think that might just be enough for him to get competitive today. He gets into the race with a feather weight and although 2m is probably a minimum trip for him now I think he will run ok.
3:50 Wincanton - Theres No Panic (Evens) - 3pt place bet - The fact is that I would be amazed if this horse didn't at least place. In all honesty I think he will win and if the ground was a bit better I think he would win easily. His last two runs haven't be amazing but they should have conditioned him nicely and I just feel he will have too much for the likes of Opening Batsmen.
Wednesday, 16 January 2013
3:30 Newbury
3:30 Newbury - Vieux Lion Rouge (5/4) - 3pt win bet (1st)
Penalty runners in bumpers are usually avoided but this horse couldn't have been more impressive on his debut for the yard. He has a tremendous pedigree and should have no problem coping with the drop back in trip. He's short enough in the betting but I think he has a rock solid chance
Cover Bet - 1pt Reverse Forecast No 3 & 5 (total stake 2pts)
1:50 Newbury
1:55 Newbury - Imperial Leader (7/4) - 3pt win
I really fancy this horse today and the reason for my confidence is largely down to the way in which the race is likely to unfold. Having looked through the runners I expect Maguire to get his mount to the front early and kick on. Proffeseur Emery is quite a head strong individual and I wouldn't be surprised if the first time hood lights him up resulting in a very fast early tempo. If that does prove to be the case, then this is going to turn into a real test and Imperial Leader should relish that prospect.
Despite the large field I believe there are only a few potential win candidates in the line up and I'm definitely not happy to take a short price on the King runner who has looked far from straight forward and is prone to crack under pressure, which could be a major issue on the uphill finish. Enrich is clearly a danger to my selection if he's in the same form as last time but that's far from certain to be the case and it looks like he's unlikely to fulfil his early promise. Given the fact that he's trained by Henderson, anything can happen though and I definitely wouldn't be surprised if this one went close. Finally we have the Balding horse Chilberta King and he may just prove to be the dark horse in the race. His form to date hasn't be amazing but he was a very nice horse on the flat and his jumping has improved with each run. He's been racing against better horses than his opposition today and if he's supported in the next few hours he may prove to be the value bet in the race. As things stand though, I'm more than happy to stick with Imperial Leader.
1:20 Newbury
1:20 Newbury - Fago (6/4) - 6pt win - I have been waiting for this horse to appear on British soil since I saw him race at Auteuil last year. He is very well built, jumps well and relishes soft/heavy ground.
Looking back through Fago's form, it is evident that this horse is top draw and is probably entitled to be ranked amongst some of the best French imports this year. He was only beaten 8 lengths by the incredibly talented, and promising, Ulyssia Royale, who I think has the potential to be a top class horse. Fago has also been placed in a grade 3 company and has already amassed £134,000 in earning.
Although Fago has recently been racing over further than today's trip, he has plenty of form over 18f and his pedigree would suggest that he has the tactical speed required to compete over 17f. He's a long striding, galloping type and therefore the nature of the track at Newbury should really suit him. He's a horse who likes to get his own way and given that his jumping is faultless, I wouldn't be surprised if Ruby sets off in front, gets the horse into a rhythm and makes this a real test.
We all know how well Nicholls does with his French imports and although Fago is relatively new to the yard, he has bundles of chasing experience and considering that his opposition have only had two runs over fences between them, this really is a race which he should be able to dictate, dominate and win. The current price of 6/4 looks more that fair as I wasn't particularly impressed by Colour Squadrons jumping last time out and he would appear to be the only real danger. Paul is still in great form, Ruby's on-board and I expect a stella performance from this very promising horse. (1st)
Tuesday, 15 January 2013
Monday, 14 January 2013
Early Selection
1:40 Ffos Las - KILCOMMON PRIDE (11/2) - 3pt win & 1pt e/w - I know from my discussions with a few people that this horse is being aimed at the Midlands National and if that is the case then his connections probably needs to get his mark up to a minimum of 120-125 to make the cut. Given the close proximity of that race and the horses average recovery time, I don't think they can afford to use tomorrows race as a pipe opener. Although he is coming back from 300 days off the track, he loves Ffos Las, is a confirmed stayer, thrives in heavy ground and on the basis of his last run, is still well handicapped. His trainer is in good form and with major question-marks over the majority of his opposition I think this horse is massively overpriced.
3:35 Lingfield - Itoldyou (20/1) - 1pt e/w - I've been talking this selection through with my brother and he thinks I'm absolutely mental to be backing this horse but I'm keeping the faith. Looking back through this horses form and race replays have given me a few reasons to be optimistic and being a PTP winner I really think he will appreciate the step up in trip tomorrow. His opening handicap mark of 102 looks workable given the fact he has a nice chasing pedigree and he's in good hands with Thornton in the saddle as Andrew is a jockey who seems to save his best rides for the course at Lingfield and currently maintains at 26% win rate at the track when chasing. Obviously the horse's trainer isn't prolific but that makes me want this horse to win even more as small yards like Linda's are integral to racing. Although he record with hurdlers is terrible she hasn't done too badly with her chasers and Itoldyou definitely seems to have been found an opportunity to win a race.
3:35 Lingfield - Itoldyou (20/1) - 1pt e/w - I've been talking this selection through with my brother and he thinks I'm absolutely mental to be backing this horse but I'm keeping the faith. Looking back through this horses form and race replays have given me a few reasons to be optimistic and being a PTP winner I really think he will appreciate the step up in trip tomorrow. His opening handicap mark of 102 looks workable given the fact he has a nice chasing pedigree and he's in good hands with Thornton in the saddle as Andrew is a jockey who seems to save his best rides for the course at Lingfield and currently maintains at 26% win rate at the track when chasing. Obviously the horse's trainer isn't prolific but that makes me want this horse to win even more as small yards like Linda's are integral to racing. Although he record with hurdlers is terrible she hasn't done too badly with her chasers and Itoldyou definitely seems to have been found an opportunity to win a race.
3:40 Plumpton
Virginia Ash (7/2) - 3pt win - A quick look at this horses previous races will tell the informed punter that this one brings solid form to the table. Although he has been well beaten in his races to date, his prices against really good opposition give a reason to be confident. His trainer has applied the pieces, sent him to a track where he has a solid record, put him up against exposed opposition and employed Joe to do the steering. The end result, the horse has been the subject of considerable support and I for one, expect him to win or at least go very close. (1st)
Today's Bets
1:10 Plumpton - Valdez (4/7) - This horse looks to have been found a perfect opportunity here and his yard have won this race twice in the last 3 years (both favourites). On his form to date he is miles a head of anything else in the field and although the likes of Askar and The Tiger are potential improver's they didn't show anywhere near enough on their respective debuts to suggest they're capable of challenging a horse who is correctly rated at 125. We know Valdez handles the ground, we know he jumps well and we know he's fit. Although 2m is probably a minimum trip now, he should be able to make his experience count and the only real danger I can see is Islandmagee but he's running off the back of a 239 day break and is therefore entitled to need the run. (1st)
2:50 Wolverhampton - Cool Sky (4/5) - This is a straightforward penalty system qualifier. He is hunting down a 4 timer today and carries a 7lb penalty as a result of his win over CD four days ago. The form of that race looks solid as the ultra progressive Big Boss followed him home and this is a chance for connections to get one more win in before this horse is forced to step up in class. (2nd)
4:20 Wolverhampton - Ofcoursewecan (11/2) - This horse has a cracking little pedigree and although he was a disappointing favourite on debut, I expect him to come on for that run and he should be difficult to beat from stall 3. In years gone by Johnston has been a man to follow in January as his strike rate with 3yo's has been ridiculous. So far 2013 has not been kind to him but he's won this race a few times in the past and I think Ofcoursewecan is good value at 11/2. (UP)
Advised Bets
Valdez (4/7) - 6pt single
Cool Sky (4/6) - 3pt single
Valdez (4/7) and Cool Sky (4/6) - 1pt double
Ofcoursewecan (11/2) - 1pt e/w bet
Saturday, 12 January 2013
Today's Selections
2:05 Kempton - Cruchain (6/1) - 1pt e/w (3rd)
2:40 Kempton - Oscara Dara (13/2) - 1pt e/w (Horse to Follow) (1st)
2:25 Warwick - De La Bech (6/1) - 1pt e/w (Horses to Follow) (UP)
3:00 Warwick - The New One (1/1) - 3pt win (Horse to Follow) (1st)
2:40 Kempton - Oscara Dara (13/2) - 1pt e/w (Horse to Follow) (1st)
2:25 Warwick - De La Bech (6/1) - 1pt e/w (Horses to Follow) (UP)
3:00 Warwick - The New One (1/1) - 3pt win (Horse to Follow) (1st)
Friday, 11 January 2013
Todays Selections
1:00 Lingfield - Monument Man (5/2) - 3pt win and 0.50pt reverse forecast with Charming (1st)
2:20 Huntingdon - Malt Master (11/10) - 3pt win (1st)
3:50 Huntingdon - Swincombe Stone (5/1) - 1pt e/w (3rd - SP 15/2)
2:20 Huntingdon - Malt Master (11/10) - 3pt win (1st)
3:50 Huntingdon - Swincombe Stone (5/1) - 1pt e/w (3rd - SP 15/2)
Thursday, 10 January 2013
Today's Selection
3:05 Meydan - Final Button (6/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
5:25 Meydan - Mufarrh (11/2) - 1pt e/w (UP)
I'm going to be running a thread based around the lead up to the World Cup in Dubai in march. The thread will cover every carnival meeting at Meydan and will also detail, training/stable reports, horses to follow etc. If you fancy taking a look it can be found on the follow link or by clicking the relevant section on the right hand side of the screen (Meydan Carnival Madness)
http://horseracing101.blogspot.co.uk/p/meydan-carnival-madness.html
5:25 Meydan - Mufarrh (11/2) - 1pt e/w (UP)
I'm going to be running a thread based around the lead up to the World Cup in Dubai in march. The thread will cover every carnival meeting at Meydan and will also detail, training/stable reports, horses to follow etc. If you fancy taking a look it can be found on the follow link or by clicking the relevant section on the right hand side of the screen (Meydan Carnival Madness)
http://horseracing101.blogspot.co.uk/p/meydan-carnival-madness.html
Wednesday, 9 January 2013
12:50 Ludlow
Tiqris(5/4) - 6pt win - game this horse a big write up last time out and I fully expected him to make a winning debut over hurdles (2nd)
Tuesday, 8 January 2013
Today's Selections
12:30 Leicester - Irish Buccaneer (2/1) - 3pt win (2nd)
3:25 Wolves - LouLou Vuitton (9/2) - 3pt win (UP)
4:25 Wolves - Frontier Spirit (10/11) - 3pt win (1st)
3:25 Wolves - LouLou Vuitton (9/2) - 3pt win (UP)
4:25 Wolves - Frontier Spirit (10/11) - 3pt win (1st)
Monday, 7 January 2013
Today's Selections
1:10 Taunton - Sound Investment (4/6) - 3pt win (1st)
2:10 Taunton - Reyes Magos (20/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
2:20 Wolverhampton - Hellbender (22/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
2:40 Taunton - One in Milan (8/1) -1pt e/w (UP)
All bets are BOG.
2:10 Taunton - Reyes Magos (20/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
2:20 Wolverhampton - Hellbender (22/1) - 1pt e/w (UP)
2:40 Taunton - One in Milan (8/1) -1pt e/w (UP)
All bets are BOG.
Sunday, 6 January 2013
Saturday, 5 January 2013
Today's Selections
1:00 Chepstow - Arthurian Legend (3/1) - 6pt win - For me this is max bet material, I fancied the horse when I was looking through the card last night but I then received a call from a friend with a connection to the horse who told me in no uncertain terms that today was the day. (2nd)
2:25 Sandown - Poet (7/2) - 3pt win - I was taken aback when I watched this horse win on his hurdling debut and I think he could potentially be very very smart. His connections have wasted no time in entering him in the Supreme Novices and more interestingly the Champion Hurdle and he is actually come in for a bit of support at big prices. We know he will love the ground and as only one of two horses in the field who actually want a 2m trip, he should be very dangerous.
More will follow after the 1:00 race (I was running out of time to get that one off before the off).
Additional Selections
1:35 Chepstow - Swnymor (3/1) - 3pt win
2:45 Chepstow - Fred the shed (10/1) - 1pt e/w
3:20 Chepstow - Soll (12/1) - 1pt e/w
2:25 Sandown - Poet (7/2) - 3pt win - I was taken aback when I watched this horse win on his hurdling debut and I think he could potentially be very very smart. His connections have wasted no time in entering him in the Supreme Novices and more interestingly the Champion Hurdle and he is actually come in for a bit of support at big prices. We know he will love the ground and as only one of two horses in the field who actually want a 2m trip, he should be very dangerous.
More will follow after the 1:00 race (I was running out of time to get that one off before the off).
Additional Selections
1:35 Chepstow - Swnymor (3/1) - 3pt win
2:45 Chepstow - Fred the shed (10/1) - 1pt e/w
3:20 Chepstow - Soll (12/1) - 1pt e/w
Friday, 4 January 2013
1:20 Lingfield
Spit (12/1) - 1 pt e/w - I would be the first to admit that this is a terrible race but because of that I believe there may be a bit of value to be had. Spit has a profile which would suggest that he has been far from straight forward for one reason or another as he has only raced 6 times in 5 years. Usually this would not be the type of horse I would target but he was very well support on his seasonal debut having been backed into favouritism late on. Those who put their hard earned cash on the line must have been very disappointed though when he missed the start completely and spent the whole race miles off the pace finishing in his own time under a sympathetic ride. Today he makes the switch to chasing and that's what he's bred for (dam a half sister to Simply Great). His trainer is in cracking form, his jockey takes off a valuable 3lb. he has plenty of tactical speed (bumper winner) and if it's injuries which have kept him away from the track, then he should appreciate the ground. Clearly not a horse to get carried away with but he may just be capable of running a good race in what is a terrible event.
Elsewhere on the Lingers card, there has been interesting money for the Hobbs horse Ballygarvey in the 1:50 and as an unexposed type, there could be plenty more to come from him in this sphere. The other horse who has apparently been the subject of some race course whispers is the Keighley runner Midnight Thomas who runs in the Division 1 bumper. He is apparently expected to come on significantly from his first run and the step up in trip is also expected to suit. I'm not sure I would want to take on the Baker horse though, who is clearly very well fancied in this one.
Best of luck with all your bets today guys.
Thursday, 3 January 2013
Flat Selections
2:20 Lingfield - John Lightbody (3/1) - 3pt win
3:05 Meydan - Innocuous (5/2) - 3pt win
1pt double
3:05 Meydan - Innocuous (5/2) - 3pt win
1pt double
Today's Selections
12:30 Ayr - Harry the Lemmon (5/2) - 3pt win
1:30 Ayr - Gleann Na Ndochais (2/1) - 3pt win
2:00 Ayr - Dannacey's Hill (5/2) - 3pt win
1pt Treble
Not very inspired selections today as they are all short prices but I'm quietly confident and I would be hopeful that all three should run very well.
1:30 Ayr - Gleann Na Ndochais (2/1) - 3pt win
2:00 Ayr - Dannacey's Hill (5/2) - 3pt win
1pt Treble
Not very inspired selections today as they are all short prices but I'm quietly confident and I would be hopeful that all three should run very well.
Wednesday, 2 January 2013
Ayr Eachway Selections
12:50 - Bernardelli (40/1) - 1pt e/w
2:50 - Lockedinthepocket (7/1) - 1pt e/w
2:50 - Lockedinthepocket (7/1) - 1pt e/w
Today's Selection
12:20 Ayr - Green Flag (7/4) - 3pt win
2:20 Ayr - Nowurhurling (3/1) - 3pt win
Write up's to follow later this morning if I have time
2:20 Ayr - Nowurhurling (3/1) - 3pt win
Write up's to follow later this morning if I have time
Tuesday, 1 January 2013
3:50 Info
Over My Head (25/1) - 1pt ew - I know i have already backed a horse in this race but a very close friend of mine just rang me to tell me that this horse is quietly fancied. He has connections to numerous yards and when I get a call from him it always pays to follow his advice. I still think the lavell horse will be very hard to beat though.
Today's Selections
12:25 Exeter - Big Society (15/8) - 3pt win (1st)
1:20 Fakenham - Ubaldo Des Menhies (6/1) - 3pt win (1st)
1:45 Catterick - Valleyofmilan (10/3) - 3pt win (UP)
3:30 Catterick - Mr Puck (7/4) - 3pt (2nd)
There will be more selections to follow but I was running out of time as I wanted to give readers the chance to back my first pick at Exeter.
1:20 Fakenham - Ubaldo Des Menhies (6/1) - 3pt win (1st)
1:45 Catterick - Valleyofmilan (10/3) - 3pt win (UP)
3:30 Catterick - Mr Puck (7/4) - 3pt (2nd)
There will be more selections to follow but I was running out of time as I wanted to give readers the chance to back my first pick at Exeter.
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