1:40 Ffos Las - KILCOMMON PRIDE (11/2) - 3pt win & 1pt e/w - I know from my discussions with a few people that this horse is being aimed at the Midlands National and if that is the case then his connections probably needs to get his mark up to a minimum of 120-125 to make the cut. Given the close proximity of that race and the horses average recovery time, I don't think they can afford to use tomorrows race as a pipe opener. Although he is coming back from 300 days off the track, he loves Ffos Las, is a confirmed stayer, thrives in heavy ground and on the basis of his last run, is still well handicapped. His trainer is in good form and with major question-marks over the majority of his opposition I think this horse is massively overpriced.
3:35 Lingfield - Itoldyou (20/1) - 1pt e/w - I've been talking this selection through with my brother and he thinks I'm absolutely mental to be backing this horse but I'm keeping the faith. Looking back through this horses form and race replays have given me a few reasons to be optimistic and being a PTP winner I really think he will appreciate the step up in trip tomorrow. His opening handicap mark of 102 looks workable given the fact he has a nice chasing pedigree and he's in good hands with Thornton in the saddle as Andrew is a jockey who seems to save his best rides for the course at Lingfield and currently maintains at 26% win rate at the track when chasing. Obviously the horse's trainer isn't prolific but that makes me want this horse to win even more as small yards like Linda's are integral to racing. Although he record with hurdlers is terrible she hasn't done too badly with her chasers and Itoldyou definitely seems to have been found an opportunity to win a race.
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