Henry The Aviator (2/1) - 6pt win bet - For all intense and purposes this has to be one of the bets of the day. Obviously we are looking at an AW maiden and they have a habit of throwing up some suspect results but this horse is bred to be precocious and he's bred to love the surface.
HTA is a Henrythenavigator colt out of a Chief's Crown mare, he is a close relation to Star Crowned (RPR 111) and is a half brother to a few smart types including Grade 1 winner, Eddington. His dam was a reasonable performer in the US and has already achieved some incredible purchase prices with her progeny. His Sire, is relatively new to the breeding game but has already stamped his mark and was the leading first crop sire in North America. Although he didn't hit those heights in this country, last year, the general opinion amongst the bloodstock agents is that his progeny will progress well with age and therefore the debut appearance of HTA as a 3yo is not a cause for concern.
Mark Johnston has been in unusually poor form this January which has surprised the majority of punters. He's won this race 5 times in the last 10 years though and also obtained a silver medal on one occasion, so there is no doubt that this is a race which he has targeted in the past. Crone Stud Farms also has a very good record at Wolverhampton, are selective with their bookings of Joe Fanning and have forked out some serious cash to buy the horse.
Obviously there is a chance that he will get beaten by something with experience but from a dosage point of view, you will struggle to find a better bred horse (6-10-18-10-0 (44) - DI 1.32 CD 0.27) and I have every confidence that HTA will win today and go on to bigger and better things. (1st)
any word on the Hills horse in the same race ?
ReplyDeleteKing Wood (TUR)
Cheers !!
Unfortunately I have little or no contact with the yard during the winter months as my source is only present during the turf season. I have to admit that the flood of money for the horse in the last hour has to be a cause for concern as does the fact that they have booked fortune who is one of the leading jockey's at Wolves. Although the horse is bred to need much further than today's trip, the yard don't usually leave their money behind but I'm still happy to take him on and if anything the shortening in price has meant that both my pick and the Haggas horse are even more appealing betting propositions.
ReplyDeleteHope that helps