1:20 Lingfield

Spit (12/1) - 1 pt e/w - I would be the first to admit that this is a terrible race but because of that I believe there may be a bit of value to be had. Spit has a profile which would suggest that he has been far from straight forward for one reason or another as he has only raced 6 times in 5 years. Usually this would not be the type of horse I would target but he was very well support on his seasonal debut having been backed into favouritism late on. Those who put their hard earned cash on the line must have been very disappointed though when he missed the start completely and spent the whole race miles off the pace finishing in his own time under a sympathetic ride. Today he makes the switch to chasing and that's what he's bred for (dam a half sister to Simply Great). His trainer is in cracking form, his jockey takes off a valuable 3lb. he has plenty of tactical speed (bumper winner) and if it's injuries which have kept him away from the track, then he should appreciate the ground. Clearly not a horse to get carried away with but he may just be capable of running a good race in what is a terrible event.

Elsewhere on the Lingers card, there has been interesting money for the Hobbs horse Ballygarvey in the 1:50 and as an unexposed type, there could be plenty more to come from him in this sphere. The other horse who has apparently been the subject of some race course whispers is the Keighley runner Midnight Thomas who runs in the Division 1 bumper. He is apparently expected to come on significantly from his first run and the step up in trip is also expected to suit. I'm not sure I would want to take on the Baker horse though, who is clearly very well fancied in this one.


Best of luck with all your bets today guys.