Today's Selection and Info

So today marks the start of the new P/L, we banked 85.98pts clear profit in the last 4 weeks and I will be starting again today with the same starting betting bank of 500pts.

Todays Racing

Today we see some great racing both in England and Ireland but in my opinion some of the high profile races such as the 2000's and the Silver Bowl look like very difficult puzzles to try and solve and for that reason i will be staying well clear of them. For those of you that do wish to attempt to find the winner in the Irish Guineas here are a few little stats to help you on your way;

1. All of the past 10 winners had already raced this season
2. Previous form is very important and 90% of recent winners had already been placed in a group 1 race
3. Since 1997 16% of all winners had one their previous engagement
4. No horse outside the first 6 in the betting has won the race since 1997
5. No horse since 1997 has won the race when turning up less than 16 days after its last performance
6. All of the last 10 winners were born before the 9th April
7. 8 out of the last 10 winners were sired by a Group 1 horse
8. 8 out of the last 10 winners had won on their 2yo debut
9. 10 of the last 10 winners had run in the English 2000 Guineas
10.Richard Hannon has a 100% place strike rate in the race.

Taking those stats into consideration I would probably be minded to side with Trumpet Major or Power but to be honest it looks like a poor renewal and anything could probably win it.

Today's Selections


Now we move on to today's selections and I'm hopeful that I have found some value selections and also have a few info picks from the Hill's yard who have no fewer than 6 runners today.

2:45 Goodwood - Jet Away (7/2) - 6pt win - Now this horse has been frustrating in Listed company in the past but he has plenty going in his favour today and will love the fast ground. He also meets the majority of the key trends and compared to Fiorente and Retrieve this one looks like good value.

4:35 Chester  - Calaf (13/2) - 2pts e/w - Now the Hill's yard have a runner in this race and although my source thought that he had a chance I have decided to side with my personal selection. Calaf is a horse on the upgrade and although the Handicapper has reacted badly to his last 2 runs back on genuine good ground I believe there may be further room for improvement.

4:50 York - Pea Shooter (9/2) - 4pt win - I got a call for this horse before its last race and unfortunately his disappointed after traveling well in the early stages of the race. The horse has apparently come on considerably from the run and connections expect this horse to be very difficult to beat today.

5:35 Goodwood - Ensejaam (6/4) - 16pt win - This was the strongest message of the day today from the Hill's yard and as you can probably guess from the price and the recent plunge, they fully expect this one to win today. Time should show that this one was beaten by a very good horse LTO and Ensejaam is very highly thought of in the yard. 7f is definitely right at the end of her comfort zone but connections believe that she has the class to over come that in what is a weak look field and the only danger they highlighted is the Hannon horse.

7:00 Lingfield - Desert Strike (6/1) - 3pt win - Today may well be the day that Desert Strike bags his win, he has been very unlucky recently but connections are very happy about how the entries have worked out for today as there are a buck load of front runners going to post. DS needs a very strong gallop to aim at and in the hands of Ryan Moore this one is expected to be finishing fast and will hopefully get up close home. At 6/1 there is a bit of e/w value but the sun is shinning and I'm feeling brave so I have gone for the win.

8:40 Lingfield - The Hill's horse is thought to have a chance in this one but my guy has heard whispers that a big, big run is expected from Tis Rock n Roll and for that reason the advice was to give Never Satisfied a swerve tonight.

So that concludes today's selections although I may have something else in the pipe line for later today but will have to wait and see things pan out on.

Best of luck today and lets hope we can start the new P/L off on a high.