My selection in this race is KYLLACHY STORM and for me its an absolute no brainer. The horse is a 4 time CD winner, is versatile tactically, has a cracking jockey in the saddle and is well below his last winning mark. With no fewer than 17 runners going to post in the race the pace is bound to be pretty quick and coming from a wide draw I would expected Baker to tuck the horse in behind and wait for a gap to appear. In my opinion Baker's ability to judge the pace and time a run is impeccable and in a race like this he's is definitely the man I would want riding my selection. There has already been a bit of money around for the horse this morning and when this yard put a bit of confidence behind one of their runners it usually isn't far away. All things considered I would rate this one as a *** star bet but if the field was slightly smaller it would definitely be a 4 star.
My Last Time Out Comment - Horse finished 3rd
"5:50 Kempton - KYLLACHY STORM (12/1) - 15 points e/w - When looking at sprint races at Kempton the first thing I look for is a confirmed front runner, drawn in a low stall, with an experienced jockey onboard. Kyllachy meets all of those criteria and is also well below his last winning mark. His last win came over CD with Baker in the saddle; he was drawn in stall 2 and made all to win by a length. The time of that win represents the quickest recorded in today’s field and therefore if the same tactics are employed by Baker, I can't really see anything else improving enough to catch him.
Regarding his recent form, Kyllachy returned from a substantial break LTO in a seller and was well beaten finishing 4 of 4. In my opinion this run can be ignored, the horse will definitely have needed the race and the trainer has a very poor record in sellers anyway, so that race was never going to be the target. His last win came on his second run out following a substantial break from the track and therefore the bounce factor shouldn’t be a problem especially as the horse has had over a month to recover.
Another positive factor in my selections favour is that on past grass and A/W form this horse is weighted to reverse placing with the majority of the field. Furthermore the abundance of hold up performers in the field should mean that the Storm gets an uncontested lead if he breaks well. There has been money around for the Evans horse (Forty Proof) who makes his debut for the yard and is drawn near KS. The horse clearly has ability but he is a problem horse, he is regularly taken to post early, he pulls hard and he is a definite hold up performer which in my opinion is a disadvantage at Kempton and for those reasons I am happy to take him on. As far as the other runners go, Rightcar is bound to be there at the finish and Automotive is an interesting runner who tries sprinting for the first time. Personally being a Beat Hollow progeny I wouldn't fancy his chances but Fielden is a savvy trainer and I will be intrigued to see how he runs.
All things considered Kyllachy Strom is definitely the horse me, and I can't help but feel that he is massively overpriced. He looks like a cracking e/w bet and if he isn't sent to the front straight away by baker then I can always look to lay him in running to cover my loses because he will not win this race from off the pace. "
About Me
- Racing101
- For the past few years, I have dedicated the majority of my time to horse racing. I have become an established member of numerous racing forums and I am sure a few of you will have seen my 'Please Ignore' threads on GG and Everythinghorseracing.co.uk (great forum). In my spare time I also advise a number of parties concerning bloodstock and dosage profiles. In the last 5 years I have formulated numerous selection filters and rating systems which have allowed me to achieve substantial profit on a yearly basis. I have also established links with a number of stables, and receive regular info which I will share on the blog as and when I receive it. For me horse racing is a passion and I'm always looking at ways to improve, both as a tipster and as an equine enthusiast. I hope you enjoy reading my blog and feel free to contact me either via email at myhorseracing101@gmail.com or via twitter at horses4course.
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