Following the washout at Windsor we are now facing the prospect of an AW card, with a hat full of maidens at Kempton and some very poor looking races at Wolves, things don't look great from a betting perspective and once again I will be lowering my stakes
Kempton Selections
2:15 - VANTAA (9/1) - 5 pt win and 7pt place at 2/1 - See yesterdays write up
3:15 - MISSISSIPPI (4/1) - 5pt win - This horse has been the subject of some very positive reports and the yard have made a good start to the season. The horse made one appearance last year and it was in a very hot looking maiden at the Curragh. The horse finished 9th that day but was heavily punted before the off and was probably beaten by a combination of a wide draw and terrible conditions. Mississippi has subsequently moved from the Weld yard to Meehan stable but has been retained by his high profile owner. A big run is forecast today and with a race under his belt this Exceed and Excel progeny should go well today.
3:45 - CYNTHIA CALHOUN (10/1) - 1.5pts e/w - Now this has all the makings of a wide open maiden and both horses at the head of the market have come in for support this morning, but I fancy my selection to run well. The horse has a nice pedigree and was sent to Goodwood to make its debut last year. The horse showed obvious signs of greeness but ran a reasonable race to finish 9th, she travelled well after missing the break and did really well to finish where she did considering she hung through out. Like Mississipi her sire does ok at the venue and the trainer has had a good start to the campaign. her wide draw does dampen my confidence slightly but I still think she holds solid claims. The Hill's runner Litmus is not considered to be a world beater, will probably need the run and will want further in time but may be able to run into some place money.
4:15 - DYNASTY (14/1) - 1pt e/w - For me this horse is massively overpriced, the racing post and numerous other publications would lead you to believe that the horse didn't see out the trip last time out on his first try over 1m 3f, but I am not of the same opinion. He clearly bumped into two very useful types that day as the second placed horse won next time out and the first placed horse ran a really good race in Class 2 company at Ponte. The winning time of his last race was pretty quick as well considering the calibre of the race and back in same age company today I believe this horse will go very close to winning.
Wolverhampton Selections
8:25 - JINKER NOBLE (7/1) - 4 pts e/w - This is probably my stand out bet of the day and I really fancy this one to win this race. Although the likes of UPRISE, WEST LEAKE (fancied e/w by the Hills Yard) and BARTOLOMEU will be difficult to beat there is no doubt for me that this is the obvious selection. The horse is related to plenty of AW winners and will have improved significantly for his seasonal debut earlier in the month. He is apparently very well fancied by the yard and if you are going to follow me on this selection then I suggest you get on a soon as possible because if what I have heard is true then this one will be punted before the off.
So that confirms today's selections and I won't be having any further bets unless I receive some info.
Starting Bank = 601.21pts
Bets Placed = 30.00pts
No comments:
Post a Comment