Very busy day today and we have plenty of selections on the blog including a nice e/w info bet from the Longshot at Newbury as well as a **** bet at the same venue. Lets hope for a profitable day and I wish you all the best with your bets.
Ayr Selections
2:15 - PURE FAITH (11/2) - *** Rating - Now this is obviously a very difficult race to call but we have a few key trends to follow and I personally think that Pure Faith has solid claims. He ran a very good race at Aintree and that was a real step up in form despite finishing 5th. Aintree has been a good prep for this race in the past with 3 of the last 5 runners having run there on route to victory here (other 2 went to Cheltenham). With Lancetto burdened with top weight, Pacha Du Polder falling LTO and Lider tackling tough opposition, the horses at the top of the market look a bit vulnerable and who knows, maybe both trainer and Jockey of Pure Faith will get their first winner at Ayr tomorrow.
3:25 - MOSTLY BOB (20/1) ** Rating, QUENTIN COLLONGES (20/1) ** Rating, PETTIFOUR (40/1) * Rating. For reasoning see my Scottish Grand National post yesterday. Someone said yesterday that Galaxy Rock was fancied to run a big race and the market is definitely speaking in his favour, I'm not going to back him as I've already backed 3 runners but he did fit a few of the key trends and he could definitely be worth an e/w bet.
Newbury Selections
LONGSHOT INFO - 1:30 -WREATHS OF EMPIRE (33/1) - ** Rating - Same connections which have given him the 28/1 & 33/1 winners this week so the selection has to be respected. Personally I think SEVENTH SIGN (11/1) will be going very close to winning this race and I will be having an e/w bet on him as well.
2:35 - RADIO GAGA (10/1) ** Rating - This race will be about the return of Best Term and whether she has trained on and can stay further this season. Personally I think its 50/50 and for that reason I don't really want to be backing her at a price of 7/4. I will however be having an e/w bet on her for the 1000 Guineas at 25/1 because if she does destroy this field tomorrow then the price will shorten significantly. With a few question marks surrounding the favourite I've decided to hunt down a bit of e/w value and I think Radio Gaga ticks a few boxes. She is a powerfully built Filly who performed above expectations last season, the form of her maiden win is incredibly strong and the combination of a step up in trip and soft ground should help her tomorrow. Obviously on official ratings she has a bit to find and I definitely would view this as a race to get too carried away with, but I think she has a chance.
3:10 BRONTERRE (4/5) - **** Rating - No need for a significant write up about this one as its a short priced favourite and its claims are there for all to see. Meets all of the key trends for the race, trainer in form and should win well.
4:20 - This race includes two horses which featured in my 2yo diary last season; MICHELANGELO and MINIMISE RISK. Minimise Risk was seen at Doncaster in March and I landed an e/w bet as he finished second despite being uneasy in the market before the off. As a result of that race he is the tissue favourite today and with a race under his belt he should be difficult to beat. Michelangelo was not seen last season but has a stunning pedigree and has been the subject of some positive reports from the yard. He's currently priced up around 7/1 and although it has to be considered a bit of a punt I will be having a small e/w bet on this one.
INFO - 4:55 - BORDER LEGEND (4/1) - *** Rating - Have received a big word for this horse today, he is thought to be capable of winning first time out, has been performing very well on the gallops and has been sent to give the queen a little birthday present.
LATE ADDITION TO MY NEWBURY SELECTIONS = DARING INDIAN (20/1 & 3/1 place with Betfair) -** Rating n the lucky last.
Bangor Selections
1:50 - CURTAIN RAZOR (10/3) - *** Rating - This is a very competitive race but I really fancy this horse today. He looked very promising on his rules debut finishing in between a couple of nice types, his second run wasn't so good but it came at a time when the NIcholls yard was out of form and the ground would definitely have been soft enough that day (also reported to have bled). His next entry was in a competitive little affair at Newbury and personally I think the jockey got his tactics wrong as he looks to be a horse who needs a bit of cover. He should get that today with McCain horse certain to make the running, he also gets good ground for the first time, and the step up in trip will definitely suit. Must have a very solid chance for this years Champion Trainer.
About Me
- Racing101
- For the past few years, I have dedicated the majority of my time to horse racing. I have become an established member of numerous racing forums and I am sure a few of you will have seen my 'Please Ignore' threads on GG and Everythinghorseracing.co.uk (great forum). In my spare time I also advise a number of parties concerning bloodstock and dosage profiles. In the last 5 years I have formulated numerous selection filters and rating systems which have allowed me to achieve substantial profit on a yearly basis. I have also established links with a number of stables, and receive regular info which I will share on the blog as and when I receive it. For me horse racing is a passion and I'm always looking at ways to improve, both as a tipster and as an equine enthusiast. I hope you enjoy reading my blog and feel free to contact me either via email at myhorseracing101@gmail.com or via twitter at horses4course.
No comments:
Post a Comment